NFL SUNDAY • WEEK 1

NFL Picks Today: 7 Sunday Matchups to Watch – September 13, 2026

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 13, 2026

The first full NFL Sunday of 2026 gives bettors a loaded board. ASA is focusing on seven matchups: Saints-Lions, Jets-Titans, Ravens-Colts, Bills-Texans, Dolphins-Raiders, Commanders-Eagles and Cardinals-Chargers.

ASA Betting Note: Week 1 creates opportunity, but it also creates uncertainty. New coaches, personnel changes and offseason narratives can move NFL lines before teams have produced meaningful regular-season data. The objective isn't to bet every game — it's to find where the market price and the matchup don't agree.
SUNDAY NFL BOARD

Seven NFL Matchups on the ASA Radar

Four featured games kick off in the early window before three more take over at 4:25 PM ET.

1:00 PM ET
Saints at Lions
1:00 PM ET
Jets at Titans
1:00 PM ET
Ravens at Colts
1:00 PM ET
Bills at Texans
4:25 PM ET
Dolphins at Raiders
4:25 PM ET
Commanders at Eagles
4:25 PM ET
Cardinals at Chargers
EARLY WINDOW

Sunday's 1:00 PM ET Matchups

GAME 1 • NFL

New Orleans Saints at Detroit Lions

1:00 PM ET
Ford Field

New Orleans opens its season on the road in Detroit, creating an immediate test against a Lions team playing inside Ford Field.

Week 1 makes roster continuity, offensive-line performance and red-zone execution especially important. Preseason impressions can influence public perception, but bettors need to determine whether those impressions have already been fully incorporated into Sunday's number.

Detroit Home Field
The Lions begin the season in the controlled environment of Ford Field.
Week 1 Unknowns
New personnel and offseason changes create more uncertainty than a normal midseason matchup.
Red Zone
Finishing drives rather than settling for field goals can decide both the game and ATS result.
What Matters

Evaluate offensive-line matchups and the final spread rather than automatically paying a premium for Detroit at home.

GAME 2 • AFC

New York Jets at Tennessee Titans

1:00 PM ET
Nashville

The Jets travel to Tennessee for an AFC matchup where early-down efficiency and quarterback play should have an outsized influence on the handicap.

Opening-week games often produce aggressive conclusions about offseason roster changes before there is enough regular-season evidence to support them. That makes the actual spread particularly important here.

Quarterback Play
Decision-making and protection can determine which offense avoids obvious passing situations.
Early Downs
Staying ahead of the chains reduces pressure on both offenses.
Turnovers
Week 1 mistakes can rapidly change field position and game script.
What Matters

Look for the team more capable of creating manageable third downs while protecting the football.

GAME 3 • AFC

Baltimore Ravens at Indianapolis Colts

1:00 PM ET
Lucas Oil Stadium

Baltimore opens the season in Indianapolis in a matchup where the Ravens' road price deserves as much attention as the team names themselves.

Mobile quarterback play, explosive rushing opportunities and third-down defense can quickly determine whether Baltimore controls the game or Indianapolis keeps the matchup inside the number.

Rushing Efficiency
Success on the ground can dictate down-and-distance throughout the afternoon.
Explosive Plays
One or two chunk gains can dramatically alter a Week 1 game script.
Road Price
The stronger perceived team is not automatically the stronger wager.
What Matters

Compare Baltimore's matchup advantages with the final road spread. The number determines whether an advantage becomes a bet.

GAME 4 • AFC SPOTLIGHT

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans

1:00 PM ET
Houston

Buffalo-Houston is one of the strongest games on ASA's early board. Both teams enter opening Sunday with expectations, making it a matchup where public perception can have a meaningful effect on the market.

Rather than simply deciding which roster looks better on paper, bettors should focus on pass protection, pressure rate, explosive-play prevention and each team's ability to finish possessions.

Pass Protection
Keeping the quarterback clean can determine whether either offense consistently attacks downfield.
Explosive Plays
Limiting chunk gains becomes especially important against high-end offensive talent.
Market Expectations
Two respected teams can create a tightly priced betting market.
What Matters

Watch the line through Sunday morning. In a competitive matchup, even a small move can materially change the preferred side.

LATE WINDOW

Sunday's 4:25 PM ET Matchups

GAME 5 • AFC

Miami Dolphins at Las Vegas Raiders

4:25 PM ET
Allegiant Stadium

Miami travels to Las Vegas for a matchup featuring significant change on both sidelines. That makes this one of the games where bettors should be particularly cautious about assuming last season's identity carries directly into 2026.

Both organizations begin new chapters under different leadership, increasing the importance of personnel usage, offensive structure and in-game adjustments. The matchup will also be played indoors at Allegiant Stadium, removing weather as a major variable.

New Systems
Opening Sunday provides the first meaningful look at how offseason changes translate to regular-season football.
Indoor Game
Allegiant Stadium removes wind and precipitation from the handicap.
Market Discovery
Week 1 is the first opportunity to test offseason assumptions against actual game conditions.
What Matters

Be careful using 2025 statistics as if the teams and systems are unchanged. Sunday's personnel usage may tell us more than last season's averages.

GAME 6 • NFC EAST

Washington Commanders at Philadelphia Eagles

4:25 PM ET
Lincoln Financial Field

Washington-Philadelphia gives Sunday's ASA board a divisional matchup immediately in Week 1. Familiarity matters in the NFC East, but so does the market's tendency to attach premiums to teams carrying strong public expectations into a new season.

The trenches deserve particular attention. Protection, pressure without blitzing and short-yardage execution can determine whether either offense stays on schedule.

Division Game
Familiar opponents can reduce some of the schematic surprise normally associated with Week 1.
Philadelphia Home Field
Washington begins the season in one of the division's more difficult road settings.
Line of Scrimmage
Protection and rushing efficiency should heavily influence the matchup.
What Matters

Do not handicap the matchup solely through reputation. Divisional familiarity and the final point spread can make the ATS question much different from the outright-winner question.

GAME 7 • LATE WINDOW

Arizona Cardinals at Los Angeles Chargers

4:25 PM ET
SoFi Stadium

Arizona travels to Southern California to face the Chargers at SoFi Stadium in the final matchup on ASA's featured Sunday board.

For an opening-week game, offensive-line continuity and defensive communication deserve extra weight. Both teams have had an entire offseason to prepare, but regular-season speed frequently exposes weaknesses that preseason football does not.

Protection
Pressure can disrupt timing and turn promising drives into field-position losses.
Third Downs
Sustaining possessions will be important for controlling tempo.
Week 1 Pricing
Opening-week markets rely heavily on projections because current-season data does not yet exist.
What Matters

Compare Sunday's final market with offseason expectations and confirmed player availability before making a decision.

ASA SUNDAY STRATEGY

Seven Games Doesn't Mean Seven Bets

Opening Sunday creates one of the biggest betting boards of the season. That is exactly when discipline becomes most important.

ASA evaluates matchup advantages, injuries, offensive-line combinations, quarterback situations, market movement and the available price before a game earns premium consideration.

A team can be the likely winner and still be a poor ATS wager. Likewise, an underdog does not become valuable simply because it receives points. The number is part of the handicap.

ASA PREMIUM NFL BOARD

Find the Strongest Play — Don't Force the Entire Board

Seven games are under the microscope, but ASA premium selections are reserved for the matchups where the handicapping edge and betting price line up. The objective is quality over volume.

Sports betting involves financial risk. Advanced Sports Advisors provides sports betting analysis, handicapping opinions and informational content. No pick or prediction guarantees future performance. Verify injuries, inactive lists and current betting markets before making any wagering decision.